PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC CASUALTY MODELS AND SIMPLIFIED METHOD TO EVALUATE SEISMIC CASUALTY RISK

Simplified Pbee to Estimate Economic Seismic Risk for Buildings

A seismic risk assessment is often performed on behalf of a buyer of large commercial buildings in seismically active regions. One outcome of the assessment is that a probable maximum loss (PML) is computed. PML is of limited use to real-estate investors as it has no place in a standard financial analysis and reflects too long a planning period for what-if scenarios. We introduce an alternative...

Analytic Solution of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment

Probabilistic seismic risk assessments (PSRA) are used to quantify the seismic damage probability of complex engineering structures due to seismic events. In such systems, the seismic capacities of individual relevant components are determined by structure mechanics. A significant digits computation method to quantify the mean seismic failure probability (fragility) for given component capacity...

Report on Covariance Method for Property-casualty Risk-based Capital

O11: Casualty Care

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A Probabilistic Model for the Seismic Risk of Buildings. Application to Assess the Seismic Risk of Buildings in Urban Areas

A probabilistic model to estimate the seismic risk of buildings is evaluated. For this purpose a specific methodology is proposed. The developed methodology allows explicitly consider important uncertainties that are present in the main elements, that are used to estimate the seismic risk of buildings. One of these elements is the seismic vulnerability of each building, which is mainly represen...